Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1271.352043 1455.826503 1664.767998 1920.379623 2226.590444 2584.061642 3036.516893
2025-05-25 1009.260113 1249.484488 1549.883939 1959.105410 2511.487947 3245.294196 4318.336588
2025-06-01 865.359935 1123.629738 1467.082782 1968.448594 2701.282241 3766.190912 5496.071528
2025-06-08 760.787002 1025.167678 1394.193880 1963.785108 2853.071365 4248.188773 6735.845408
2025-06-15 695.584416 968.065563 1364.950117 2008.979642 3077.221238 4878.636404 8396.803069
2025-06-22 616.398714 878.908409 1273.800817 1939.769963 3098.151141 5168.340418 9528.244136
2025-06-29 553.723437 806.393896 1197.393441 1879.789896 3118.839039 5455.005853 10739.789319
2025-07-06 499.236711 740.306413 1122.555307 1809.909467 3106.277978 5671.280719 11869.974039
2025-07-13 479.031874 726.012514 1129.395983 1881.897446 3370.070528 6501.059155 14751.277385
2025-07-20 453.010882 699.315962 1111.821478 1906.015979 3543.030658 7180.886755 17559.685795
2025-07-27 431.338306 677.589601 1100.014093 1938.497385 3738.413290 7963.236146 21044.828254
2025-08-03 410.560913 655.335492 1084.591208 1961.151838 3916.250883 8753.154202 24994.595525
2025-08-10 397.707224 646.598502 1094.362447 2039.603706 4246.054379 10064.518410 31693.019165
2025-08-17 381.381107 630.307014 1088.510977 2085.406736 4512.151682 11308.231673 39210.822686
2025-08-24 362.501480 607.551527 1067.577757 2094.960875 4689.936614 12360.159509 46898.635426
2025-08-31 343.871881 583.650927 1041.872205 2089.994369 4829.380908 13349.383883 55329.040702
2025-09-07 332.326720 572.124940 1039.704180 2138.824250 5127.264153 14996.898723 69283.973338
2025-09-14 310.038503 538.216622 988.441663 2064.042715 5058.675875 15317.763731 75799.961831
2025-09-21 290.603469 508.548350 943.543228 1999.273047 5007.784075 15696.842053 83333.339137
2025-09-28 271.836178 478.993156 896.551845 1923.861314 4911.295700 15871.743728 89798.396019
2025-10-05 267.338564 477.509383 909.489854 2001.548257 5309.672937 18272.821878 118416.228259
2025-10-12 258.917668 467.463970 902.803215 2027.588626 5549.810472 20127.115756 146819.779685
2025-10-19 251.693535 459.345463 899.639898 2062.667980 5830.955647 22345.751391 185631.405254